Bias in the Success Case Method: A Monte Carlo Simulation Approach

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Recently, the success case method (SCM) has become one of the most popular methods in applied evaluation.  However, Brinkerhoff (2002) admits that the SCM produces biased information with respect to the central value.  I utilize Monte-Carlo simulations to assess different issues related to the bias in the estimations of the SCM.  I also propose intermediate steps to correct bias issues in the SCM results.

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